Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.367655 0.475623 0.592827 0.727791 0.877360 1.036682 1.217931
2025-10-05 0.239285 0.387192 0.564198 0.783346 1.040498 1.327046 1.665395
2025-10-12 0.171982 0.335496 0.546315 0.820304 1.153179 1.533680 1.991976
2025-10-19 0.134129 0.311040 0.554156 0.882214 1.290948 1.766472 2.346871
2025-10-26 0.102166 0.285249 0.553343 0.927692 1.404352 1.967100 2.661402
2025-11-02 0.068778 0.246690 0.528408 0.937124 1.469692 2.107990 2.904058
2025-11-09 0.032991 0.187220 0.463587 0.886404 1.454131 2.147506 3.023722
2025-11-16 0.010395 0.134565 0.398413 0.827495 1.422305 2.162793 3.110786
2025-11-23 0.002183 0.104910 0.364352 0.808226 1.438846 2.235110 3.264111
2025-11-30 0.000133 0.089936 0.353419 0.821195 1.497103 2.358664 3.478922
2025-12-07 NaN 0.071463 0.331306 0.814608 1.527174 2.445508 3.648031
2025-12-14 NaN 0.051476 0.299875 0.790078 1.530363 2.496604 3.772011
2025-12-21 NaN 0.048353 0.308352 0.832815 1.631555 2.678656 4.064555
2025-12-28 NaN 0.047895 0.323711 0.887724 1.751123 2.885976 4.390472
2026-01-04 NaN 0.044719 0.330953 0.928475 1.850164 3.066332 4.682478
2026-01-11 NaN 0.046741 0.352682 0.994101 1.985053 3.293646 5.033458
2026-01-18 NaN 0.045394 0.364478 1.042594 2.095366 3.489014 5.344695
2026-01-25 NaN 0.037282 0.354446 1.052592 2.149845 3.611266 5.564430
2026-02-01 NaN 0.021096 0.309988 0.998645 2.109518 3.607856 5.625576
2026-02-08 NaN 0.008866 0.263721 0.935863 2.052861 3.580558 5.654735
2026-02-15 NaN 0.004042 0.241467 0.915301 2.057292 3.633090 5.783604
2026-02-22 NaN 0.002453 0.237037 0.929142 2.113611 3.755119 6.000889
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000730 0.222910 0.922112 2.137303 3.832751 6.161221